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APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation (ACES) Workshop on Advances in Simulation of Multihazards

Conveners: John Rundle, John McRaney and the ACES International Science Board
Dates: May 1-5, 2011
Location: Makena Resort, Kihei, Maui, Hawaii
SCEC Award and Report: 11029

SUMMARY: The APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulations organization announces a workshop to discuss simulation of earthquake and other natural hazards around the Pacific Rim.

To be held in Maui, Hawaii, at the Makena Resort in Kihei, Hawaii, during May 1-5, 2011, the workshop will bring together scientists from the Australia, Canada, China, Chinese Taipei, Japan, the United States, and other APEC economies that have been devastated in recent years by earthquakes and other disasters.

Local Organizing Committee (LOC) will include John Rundle (Chair), John McRaney (Secretary), and the ACES International Science Board.


  • Advances in complex fault-based system-level simulations of plate boundaries and the science that underlies them
  • Simulation of multihazards, including tsunamis, storm surges, flooding, landslides, wildfires, and climate change
  • Enabling technologies including cloud computing, radar interferometry, and geographic information systems
  • Applications of simulation technology to seismic early warning, forecasting, and urban hazard mitigation

PARTICIPANTS: Michael Barall (Invisible Software, Inc.), Sylvain Barbot (Caltech), Andrea Donnellan (Jet Propulsion Lab), Ned Field (USGS), Yaron Finzi (U of Queensland), Geoffrey C. Fox (Indiana University), Eiichi Fukuyama (NIED), Maggi Glasscoe (NASA JPL), Joseph Gran (UC Davis), Robert Granat (Jet Propulsion Lab), Lisa Grant Ludwig (UC Irvine), James R. Holliday (UC Davis), Takane Hori (JAMSTEC), Junle Jiang (Caltech), Louise Kellogg (UC Davis), William Klein (Boston University), Rod Linn (Los Almos National Lab), John McRaney (SCEC), Jim Mori (DPRI, Kyoto University), Kazuyoshi Nanjo (U. of Tokyo), Jay Parker (Jet Propulsion Lab), Fred Pollitz (USGS), Keith Richards-Dinger (UC Riverside), John B. Rundle (UC Davis), Michael Sachs (UC Davis), Y. Tony Song (NASA JPL), Terry Tullis (Brown University), Don Turcotte (UC Davis), Steven Ward (UC Santa Cruz), Charles Williams (GNS Science), Xiang-chu Yin (CSB), Mark Yoder (UC Davis), David Yuen (U. Minnesota), Yongxian Zhang (China), Olaf Zielke (GFZ Potsdam)


SUNDAY May 1, 2011

18:30 Registration and Reception Tsunami Wall in back of the hotel

MONDAY May 2, 2011

08:30 Welcome John Rundle
  Tohoku Earthquake  
08:45 Summary of Data and Models for the Great Tohoku Earthquake Jim Mori
09:45 Predictive Dynamic Rupture Simulation of the 2011 Tohoku Megathrust Earthquake Eiichi Fukuyama
10:30 Break  
  Forecasting & Early Warning  
11:00 Collaboratory for the predictability study of the aftershock sequence following the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake: A preliminary result Kazuyoshi Nanjo
11:45 Results of the RELM/CSEP Validation Experiment Donald Turcotte
12:15 Lunch  
  Forecasting & Early Warning  
13:30 Computational Issues in Forecasting Earthquakes John Rundle
13:50 Record-breaking Earthquake Forecasts Mark Yoder
14:10 3D Simulation of Dynamic Response of a Heterogeneous Earth for Earthquake Forecasting Huilin Xing
14:30 QuakeSim Fault Interaction Simulations Jay Parker
14:50 Break  
  Multihazards & Tsunamis  
15:30 Numerical Simulation of Wildfires Rodman Linn
15:50 Multi-Hazard Simulation Steven Ward
16:20 What Mechanisms are Responsible for the Tsunami of The Great Tohoku Earthquake of 2011: Elastic Deformation or Landslides? David Yuan
16:40 GPS Detection of Tsunami Scales for Early Warnings Tony Song
17:00 Adjourn  

TUESDAY May 3, 2011

  Multihazards & Tsunamis  
08:30 The Spatio-Temporal Scan of LURR in the Western United States and Its Application to Predict its Seismic Tendency Xiang-chu Yin
09:00 Ensemble Earthquake Forecast Test in North-East Tibet Plateau with Multiple Models Yongxian Zhan
09:20 Seismic Streaks and Holes: Geometric Control of the Parkfield Mw6.0 Earthquake Sequence Sylvian Barbot
09:40 Fault Step-over Rheology and its Effect on Earthquake Rupture Propagation Yaron Finzi
10:00 Nucleation and Growth Modes in a Monte Carlo model of Cohesive Tensile Cracks Joseph Gran
10:15 Break  
  Simulation Methods  
10:40 Numerical experiment of sequential data assimilation for crustal deformation between Tonankai and Nankai Earthquakes Takane Hori
11:00 New Approach to Gutenberg-Richter Scaling William Klein
11:30 Dynamic Rupture on Faults with Heterogeneous Strength Due to Non-uniform Normal Stress: The Effect of stress redistribution by Prior Events Junle Jiang
11:50 Finite Element Modeling of the 2011 Christchurch, New Zealand, Mw6.3 Earthquake Charles Williams
12:20 Lunch and Adjourn  

WEDNESDAY May 4, 2011

  Computational Technology & Quake Simulations  
08:30 Complex Faulting Across the Los Angeles Portion of the Pacific-North American Plate Boundary Andrea Donnellan
08:50 The OpenQuake InfoMall Geooffrey Fox
09:10 E-DECIDER: Experiences Developing Earthquake Disaster Decision Support and Response Tools Marlon Pierce
09:30 Analysis of 30 Minute Resolution GPS Time Series from the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake via Statistical Modeling Robert Granat
09:50 Web-Based Approach to Multihazard Analysis James Holliday
10:10 Virtual California: Inner Workings, Recent Results and Future Development Michael Sachs
10:30 Break  
11:00 Scientific Visualization for Earthquake Science and Simulation Louise Kellogg
11:15 Simple Slip Models from Differential InSAR Images Jay Parker
11:30 Reconciling Precariously Balanced Rocks with Large Earthquakes on the San Andreas Fault System in S. California Lisa Ludwig Grant
11:50 E-DECIDER: Experiences Developing Earthquake Disaster Decision Support and Response Tools Maggie Glasscoe
12:10 Lunch  
  Simulators & UCERF  
13:30 Use of Earthquake Simulators by WGCEP Ned Field
14:30 RSQSim - A Regional Scale Earthquake Simulator Keith Richards-Dinger
14:50 Virtual California: A Guided Tour John Rundle and Michael Sachs
15:10 Break  
15:20 Summary of the SCEC Simulators Project Terry Tullis
16:00 ALLCAL: An Earthquake Simulator for All of California Steven Ward
16:20 Structural Maturity of Faults, Magnitude-Frequency Distribution and the Predictability of Earthquakes Olaf Zielke
16:40 Discussion Ned Field and Terry Tullis

THURSDAY May 5, 2011

  SCEC Simulators Workshop and Discussions  
08:30 Discussion All
13:30 Lunch  
  Discussion All
17:00 Adjourn  


7252 John Rundle 7378 Tony Song 7439 Keith Richards-Dinger
7291 James Holliday 7386 Kazuyoshi Nanjo 7441 Robert Granat
7317 Mark Yoder 7399 Joseph Gran 7442 Lisa Ludwig Grant
7324 Dave Yuen 7400 Michael Sachs 7448 Louise Kellogg
7331 Andrea Donnellan 7401 Don Turcotte 7462 Terry Tullis
7338 Maggi Glasscoe 7409 Edward Field 7464 Jim Mori
7351 Yaron Finzi 7418 Steven Ward 7479 Eiichi Fukuyama
7352 Olaf Zielke 7426 Junle Jiang 7485 Geoffrey Fox
7357 Jay Parker 7429 William Klein 7490 Xiang-Chu Yin
7367 How-Wei Chen 7430 Jay Parker 7495 Rodman Linn
7372 Sylvain Barbot 7432 Huilin Xing 7513 Takane Hori
7377 Charles Williams 7435 Yongxian Zhang