On June 25, 2009 the California Earthquake Authority approved $2 million for the development of UCERF3. The project will likely start on January 1, 2010, and will last for 30 months. Our primary goals with UCERF3 are to include multi-fault ruptures and spatial, temporal clustering. The latter will require robust interoperability with real-time seismicity information, and as such, UCERF3 will bring us into the realm of operational earthquake forecasting.

We will convene for a 2-day planning meeting to (1) review the anticipated model development and (2) survey the community interest in participation, in order to refine the UCERF3 Project Plan.