2007 Annual Meeting: SoSAFE Workshop
2007 Annual Meeting: SoSAFE Workshop
Dates: January 8-9, 2007
Location: Andrus Gerontology Center (Room 224); Davidson Conference Center
Organizer: Ken Hudnut
The Southern San Andreas Fault Evaluation (SoSAFE) Project will better define the past 2000 years of earthquake occurrence as well as slip rates on the fault system. One year ago, the initial meeting of SoSAFE set this new SCEC special project in motion. Since that time, new USGS funding and support from the core SCEC budget have combined to allow several important studies to begin along the San Andreas Fault, some results of which will be presented at this workshop. At a science workshop held Jan. 8-9, 2007, to commemorate the great 1857 Fort Tejon earthquake, priorities for the next year were discussed and planning began for an ambitious collaborative proposal. Improvements are being made in event chronologies at key sites, as well as in event correlations between sites, and crucial data gaps along the fault are starting to be filled. Coordinated studies employing novel dating methods emphasize cross-validation of methods and field sampling techniques to gain a better understanding of actual uncertainties in geologically estimated slip rates over time spans of up to several tens of thousands of years. At this year's workshop, further discussion and planning will take place and the SoSAFE investigator community is welcomed to participate and engage in this discussion and planning work.
Agenda
January 8: Andrus Gerontology Center (Room 224) | ||
9:30 | Continental Breakfast | |
10:00 | Introduction to the SoSAFE Project Workshop: | Ken Hudnut, USGS |
10:00 | SoSAFE Workshop Objectives, Format and Agenda | |
10:30 | Question & Answer about Funding Issues, etc. | |
10:40 | Group Discussion of SoSAFE Elements: | |
10:45 | Carrizo Group | Lisa Grant, UCI |
11:00 | Mojave Group | Tom Fumal, USGS |
11:15 | San Bernardino Group | Sally McGill, CSUSB |
11:30 | Coachella Valley Group | Gordon Seitz, SDSU |
11:45 | Initial Q&A on the San Andreas | |
12:00 | Lunch -- continue to discuss San Andreas during lunch | |
13:00 | Group Discussion of SoSAFE Elements: | |
13:00 | San Jacinto Fault Zone Group | Susanne Janecke, Utah State |
13:15 | Initial Q&A on the San Jacinto (and SAF, cont'd) | |
13:30 | GeoEarthScope | David Phillips, UNAVCO |
13:45 | Radiocarbon Dating, etc. (emphasizing event dates) | Gordon Seitz, SDSU |
14:00 | U-Series Dating (emphasizing long-term slip rates) | Warren Sharp, BGC |
14:15 | B4: High-Res. LiDAR Data for the SoSAFE Project | Ken Hudnut, USGS |
14:30 | GEON LiDAR Workflow for B4 Data Access | Ramon Arrowsmith, ASU |
14:45 | Group Discussion on all SoSAFE Elements | |
15:30 | Coffee & Tea | |
15:45 | Discussion of Future Collaborative Proposals: | |
Collaborative Proposal Development | Tom Jordan, SCEC/USC and Ken Hudnut, USGS | |
17:45 | Set dates for meetings & next SoSAFE Workshop | |
18:00 | Go around the room & adjourn | |
Day 2: Davidson Conference Center | ||
7:00 | Continental Breakfast (Board Room) | |
8:00 | "Shift Happens – Dare to Prepare" Press Conference (Embassy Ballroom) | |
8:00 | Commemoration of the 1857 Fort Tejon Earthquake | |
8:50 | "Secure Your Space" Shake Trailer Demonstration (Outside Davidson) | |
9:10 | Discussion time for interaction between policy-makers, emergency responders, and scientists | |
10:00 | The SoSAFE Project Workshop (continued): | |
10:00 | Introductory Remarks | Pat Leahy |
10:05 | The USGS Multi-Hazards Initiative | Lucy Jones, USGS |
10:25 | SoSAFE and the Mw7.8 'ShakeOut' Scenario | Ken Hudnut, USGS |
10:45 | Scenario Modeling Lessons from '1906' Experience; Movie | Brad Aagaard, USGS |
11:05 | Modeling Great San Andreas Event Ground Motions | Tom Jordan, SCEC/USC |
11:25 | Will Buildings Collapse? | Swami Krishnan, Caltech |
11:45 | Development Along the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults: the Alquist-Priolo Act | Jerry Treiman, CGS |
12:05 | Lunch Break | |
13:00 | Uncertainty in Geodetic Slip Rate Estimation | Rick Bennett, Arizona |
13:20 | Historical Accounts of the 1857 Earthquake | Duncan Agnew, UCSD |
13:40 | 1857 and Earlier Slip Events in the Carrizo Plain | Lisa Grant, UCI |
14:00 | Statistical Analysis of Paleo-Earthquake Data | Glenn Biasi, UNR |
14:20 | The San Bernardino Section -- Complexities | Sally McGill, CSUSB |
14:40 | Discussion Topics:
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16:45 | Confirm future meeting dates, and go around the room | |
17:00 | Adjourn |