2011 Annual Meeting: Palm Springs, CA
The Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) is funded by the National Science Foundation and the U.S. Geological Survey to develop a comprehensive understanding of earthquakes in Southern California and elsewhere, and to communicate useful knowledge for reducing earthquake risk. SCEC coordinates a broad collaboration that builds across disciplines and enables a deeper understanding of system behavior than would be accessible by individual researchers or institutions working alone. At the SCEC Annual Meeting, members of the community gather to share and get updates on SCEC research projects and activities, as well as plan collaborations for the coming year.
Hilton Palm Springs Resort |
Meeting Program. The 2011 Annual Meeting of the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) is the final meeting of the collaboration under third phase of SCEC (SCEC3). During the meeting we will take the measure of SCEC3 accomplishments, but the primary focus of the meeting will be on long-range planning for SCEC4. SCEC4 officially starts February 1, 2012, and the SCEC4 proposal puts forward an ambitious plan for the next five years. The Planning Committee has organized a series of sessions consisting of talks coupled with discussions that emphasize new elements in the SCEC research program and are designed to encourage SCEC4 planning. The science of earthquakes is also driven by events, and the meeting program shows the influence of the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake, its aftermath, and its implications for earthquake and tsunami hazards in California. As always, the SCEC Annual Meeting is an opportunity for the community to share and get updates on SCEC research projects and activities, as well as plan collaborations for the coming year.
An abridged printed version (PDF) of the 2011 Annual Meeting Proceedings Volume will be handed out to all registrants at the meeting. The full volume (PDF) is available for download.
Sunday, September 11th |
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Registration Check-In | |
Breakfast | |
08:00-12:00 | Workshop: Source Inversion Validation (SIV) |
08:00-12:00 | Workshop: El Mayor-Cucapah Science and Earthquake Response |
Lunch | |
SCEC Board Meeting (working lunch) | |
13:00-17:00 | Workshop: Southern San Andreas Fault Evaluation (SoSAFE) |
13:00-17:00 | Workshop: Automating the Transient Detection Process |
SCEC CME Leadership Meeting | |
13:00-17:00 | Poster Set-Up (Group A) |
17:00-18:00 | Special Invited Talk: The Great 2011 Tohoku, Japan Earthquake (Mw9.0): An Unexpected Event (J. Mori, DPRI) |
18:00-20:00 | SCEC Annual Meeting Ice-Breaker/Welcome Reception |
18:30-20:30 | SCEC Advisory Council Meeting (working dinner) |
20:00-22:30 | Poster Session I (Group A) |
Monday, September 12th |
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Registration Check-In | |
Breakfast | |
08:00-10:30 | Plenary Session I: State of the SCEC |
08:00 | Welcome and State of the Center (T. Jordan, SCEC/USC, 10.1 MB PowerPoint) |
08:30 | Report from NSF (J. Whitcomb, NSF, 11.2 MB PowerPoint) |
08:45 | Report from USGS (M. Blanpied/E. Lemersal, USGS) |
09:00 | Communication, Education, and Outreach Highlights (M. Benthien, SCEC/USC, 26.1 MB PowerPoint) |
09:30 | SCEC3 Science Accomplishments (G. Beroza, Stanford, 27.1 MB PowerPoint) |
10:30-11:00 | Break |
11:00-13:00
11:00 11:20 11:40 12:20 12:40 |
Plenary Session II: "Science and Engineering Issues from Earthquake and Tsunami Hazards Along the California Coast" (Moderator: J. Baker, Stanford) Offshore Faulting and Associated Hazards Along the Southern California Coast (J. Shaw, Harvard, 71.4 MB PowerPoint) Seismic Hazards along the California Coast: Issues for California's Nuclear Power Plants (N. Abrahamson, PG&E, 9.4 MB PowerPoint) Group Discussion Tsunami Interaction with Nearshore Infrastructure (P. Lynett, USC, 12.0 MB PowerPoint) Seismic Risk Challenges at Nuclear Power Plants (G. Hardy, SGH, 6.6 MB PowerPoint) Group Discussion |
13:00-14:30 | Lunch |
14:30-16:00 | Poster Session II (Group A) |
16:00-18:00
16:00 16:30 17:00 17:30 |
Plenary Session III: "Are We Properly Characterizing Extreme/Rare Events?" (Moderator: J. Hardebeck, USGS) 22 February 2011 Christchurch Earthquake (B. Bradley, Cantebury, 17.7 MB PowerPoint) Structural Linkage of Onshore and Offshore Thrust Systems Across the Ventura Fault and Prospects for Large Earthquakes in the Transverse Ranges (J. Hubbard, Harvard, 29.8 MB PowerPoint) Large Co-Seismic Uplift of Coastal Terraces Across the Ventura Avenue Anticline: Implications for the Size of Earthquakes and the Potential for Tsunami Generation (T. Rockwell, SDSU, 95.3 MB PowerPoint) Group Discussion |
18:00-19:00 | Poster Removal (Group A) and Set-Up (Group B) |
19:00-21:00 | SCEC Honors Banquet |
21:00-22:30 | Poster Session III (Group B) |
Tuesday, September 13th |
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07:00-08:00 | Breakfast |
08:00-09:00
08:00 08:30 |
Plenary Session IVa: "Operational Earthquake Forecasting - State of Knowledge and Issues for Implementation" Operational Earthquake Forecasting and Decision-Making in a Low-Probability Environment: Lessons from L’Aquila and Application in California (T. Jordan, SCEC/USC, 7.7 MB PowerPoint) Group Discussion |
09:00-10:00 | Plenary Session IVb: Ground Motion Simulation Validation (Moderators: N. Luco, USGS; K. Olsen, SDSU, 4.6 MB PowerPoint) |
10:00-10:30 | Break |
10:30-12:30
10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 |
Plenary Session V: "How Do We Develop the Community Stress Model?" (Moderator: T. Becker, USC) Fault Stress Heterogeneity and Implications for Rupture Dynamics (J.-P. Ampuero, Caltech, 5.8 MB PowerPoint) Earthquake Focal Mechanisms Imply Homogeneous Stress at Seismogenic Depths (J. Hardebeck, USGS, 8.2 MB PowerPoint ) Strain-Based Interpretation of Southern California Focal Mechanism Data and Implications for a Community Stress Model (I. Bailey, USC, 5.3 MB PowerPoint) Group Discussion |
12:30-14:00 | Lunch |
12:30-14:00 | SCEC Advisory Council Executive Session (working lunch) |
14:00-15:30 | Poster Session IV (Group B) |
15:30-17:00
15:30 16:00 16:45 |
Plenary Session VIa: "New Directions in Earthquake Forecasting" (Moderator: I. Zaliapin, UNR) UCERF3 – Progress on an Operational Earthquake Forecast for California (E. Field, USGS) Group Discussion The Future of Earthquake Forecasting: The Role of Earthquake Simulators (J. Dieterich, UCR, 14.2 MB PowerPoint) Group Discussion |
17:00-18:30
17:00 17:20 17:40 18:00 |
Plenary Session VIb: "SDOT Interdisciplinary Group - What Is Needed To Make Progress On Understanding Stress Transfer From Plate Motion To Crustal Faults?" (Moderator: K. Johnson, Indiana) An Integrated View of the Mw 6 Earthquake Sequence at Parkfield (S. Barbot, Caltech, 12.4 MB PowerPoint) Dramatic Lithospheric Thinning Beneath Rifted Regions of Southern California (V. Lekic, Brown, 11.7 MB PowerPoint) Long-Term Fault Strength Evolution: The Examples of Subduction Zones and Ductile Shear Zone (L. Lavier, UT Austin, 6.1 MB PowerPoint) Group Discussion |
19:00-21:00 | Dinner |
20:00-22:00 | SCEC Advisory Council Executive Session |
21:00-22:30 | Poster Session V (Group B) |
Wednesday, September 14th |
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07:00-08:30 | Remove Posters (Group B) |
07:00-08:30 | SCEC Board Meeting (working breakfast) |
07:00-08:30 | SCEC PC Meeting (working breakfast) |
07:00-08:30 | Breakfast |
08:30-10:00
08:30 09:00 09:30 |
Plenary Session VII: How Can Increasingly Complex Community Models Continue To Evolve? (Moderator: B. Aagaard, USGS) The Salton Seismic Imaging Project (SSIP): Active Rifting and Strike-Slip Faulting in the Salton Trough, California (J. Hole, Virginia Tech, 11.3 MB PowerPoint) Mechanical Investigations of 3D Fault Complexity in Southern California (M. Cooke, UMass, 23 MB PowerPoint) Group Discussion |
10:00-10:30 | Break |
10:30-11:00 | 2012 Science Collaboration and RFP (G. Beroza, Stanford, 608 KB PowerPoint) |
11:00-11:30 | Report from the SCEC Advisory Council (J. Freymueller, Alaska, 392 KB PowerPoint) |
11:30-12:00 | Concluding Remarks (T. Jordan, SCEC/USC) |
12:00 | Adjourn |
13:00-17:00 | Workshop: Strategies for Implementing a Community Stress Model |
Meeting Abstracts and Presentations. SCEC’s long-term goal is to understand how seismic hazards change across all time scales of scientific and societal interest, from millennia to second. The collaboration emphasizes the connections between information gathering by sensor networks, fieldwork, and laboratory experiments; knowledge formulation through physics-based, system-level modeling; improved understanding of seismic hazard; and actions to reduce earthquake risk and promote resilience. Use the form below to search and view all poster and invited talk abstracts submitted to this meeting.
Participants. The SCEC Annual Meeting has become a premier gathering of earthquake scientists in the United States and from around the world, bringing together one of the largest collaborations in all of geoscience. Attendees were comprised of people from various organizations (including profit, non-profit, domestic, and foreign) involved in a SCEC-related research, education, and outreach activities. The following people attended in 2011:
Posters. Because of space restrictions, posters were divided into two groups: Group A (displayed September 11-12) and Group B (displayed September 12-13).