2002 International ACES Meeting
Computational Science, Data Assimilation, and Information Technology for Understanding Earthquake Physics and Dynamics
Dates: May 5-10, 2002
Location: Maui Prince Hotel, Maui, Hawaii
Local Organizing Committee
Andrea Donnellan, Chair and US ACES International Science Board Member, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
John Rundle, Colorado
John McRaney, University of Southern California
Yehuda Ben-Zion, University of Southern California
Bill Klein, Boston University
Jay Parker, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
Geoffrey Fox, Indiana
Dave Jackson, University of California, Los Angeles
Terry Tullis, Brown
Kim Olsen, University of California, Santa Barbara
Hosts: Barbara Grubb, Michelle Smith, Michelle Werner
Overview || Agenda || Attendees
Overview
The APEC Cooperation on Earthquake Simulations (ACES) is a multi-lateral grand challenge science research cooperation of APEC (the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation). The ACES program is fundamentally a coordinated international effort linking complementary nationally based programs, centers and research teams, whose mission is:
1. To develop realistic numerical simulation models for the physics and dynamics of the complete earthquake generation process and to assimilate new earthquake observations into such models,
2. To foster collaboration between the relevant complementary programs of participating APEC member economies,
3. To foster development of the required research infrastructure and research programs.
The meeting will consist of plenary sessions plus half-day sessions related to the ACES working groups:
WG 1: Microscopic simulation
WG 2: Scaling physics
WG 3: Macro-scale simulation/Earthquake generation and cycles
WG 4: Macro-scale simulation/Dynamic rupture and wave propagation
WG 5: Computational Environment and Algorithms
WG 6: Data assimilation and understanding
WG 7: Model applications
In addition to the oral presentations, participants will be invited to bring posters on their research. Meeting attendees are encouraged to submit an extended abstract for the meeting. Guidelines for abstracts will be provided to accepted participants after February 15th. Full peer-reviewed papers will be published following the meeting.
The complete agenda is now online as well as a list of Participants and lodging information.The conference rate for hotel rooms is $145/night (plus tax).
Agenda
Sunday, May 5th 2002 | ||
18:00 | Ice Breaker/ Opening Reception Welcoming Comments from ISB Members |
Donnellan, Matsu’ura, Mora, and Yin |
Monday, May 6th 2002 | ||
Session I | Andrea Donnellan | |
08:30 | Welcome | John McRaney |
08:40 | Introduction | Andrea Donnellan |
08:50 | Nasa Perspective on ACES | John LaBrecque |
09:15 | The ACES International Cooperation: Advances and Challenges | Peter Mora |
10:00 | Break | |
10:30 | Observational Architecture for Monitoring Earthquake Deformation | Carol Raymond |
11:15 | An EarthScope Collaboratory | Tom Jordan |
12:00 | Lunch | |
Session II: Working Group 5 | Harvey Gould | |
13:30 | Role of Wavelets in the Physical and Statistical Modeling and Visualization of Complex Geological Processes | David Yuen |
13:50 | Visualization and Networking Toolkits with Wavelets | Gordon Erlebacher |
14:10 | A Parallel Implementation of the Lattice Solid Model for the Simulation Rock Mechanics Earthquake Dynamics | Steffen Abe |
14:30 | Parallel Refining Tool for Large-Scale Parallel Fault Analysis | Shin'ichi Ezure |
14:50 | MHD Dynamo Simulation Using GeoFEM Platform | Hiroaki Matsui |
15:10 | Break | |
15:30 | Solid Earth Simulations by GeoFEM Using the Earth Simulator | Hiroshi Okuda |
15:50 | Snark - A Parallel Finite Element Engine for Earth Sciences Applications | Bill Appelbe |
16:10 | Parallel Visualization of Large-Scale Datasets for the Earth Simulator | Li Chen |
16:30 | Parallel Iterative Solvers with the Selective Blocking Preconditioning of Simulations of Fault-Zone Contact | Kengo Nakajima |
16:50 | Discussion | Harvey Gould |
Tuesday, May 7th 2002 | ||
Session III: Working Group 6 | Jay Parker | |
08:30 | Introduction | Jay Parker |
08:40 | Spatio-Temporal Slip Distribution on Plate Boundaries Around the Japanese Islands Deduced from Geodetic Data | Takeshi Sagiya |
09:00 | Tectonic Plate Coupling and Elastic Thickness Derived From the Inversion of a Steady-State Viscoelastic Model Using Space Geodetic Data: Application to Southern North Island, New Zealand | Steve Cohen |
09:15 | Temporal-Spatial Scanning and Statistical Test of the Accelerating Moment Release (AMR) Model Using Australia Earthquake Data | Yucang Wang |
09:30 | Paleoseismic and Geologic Data for Earthquake Simulation | Lisa Grant |
09:45 | Break | |
10:15 | Virtual Earth - Data Modeling and Tectonic Reconstruction | Laurent Ailleres |
10:45 | Assimilation of Continuous GPS Data into Kinematic Fault Models | Jeff McGuire |
11:00 | Atmospheric Data Assimilation | Ricardo Todling |
11:30 | Panel Discussion: Harnessing the Flood: Capitalizing on Burgeoning Data Collection with Models and Automation | Jay Parker Todling, Tiampo, Sagiya, Ailleres |
12:00 | Lunch | |
Session IV: Working Group 3 | Yehuda Ben-Zion | |
13:30 | Introduction | Yehuda Ben-Zion |
13:35 | Towards a Forecast Capability for Earthquake Fault Systems: Integrating NASA Space Geodetic Observations with Numerical Simulations of a Changing Earth | John Rundle |
13:55 | Exploring the Dynamics of Crustal Fault System Models with Micro-Scale and CA Simulations | Peter Mora |
14:15 | A Statistical Seismology Approach for Studying the Earthquake Generation Process | Ma Li |
14:35 | Numerical Simulation of Seismic Cycles at a Subduction Zone with Laboratory-Derived Friction Law | Naoyuki Kato |
14:55 | Break | |
15:25 | Synthetic Seismicity Models of Multiple Interacting Faults | Russell Robinson |
15:45 | From Mechanistic to Phenomenological Models: Integrated Forecasting and Modeling of Earthquake Dynamics | Marian Anghel |
16:05 | Coupled Stress Release Model and Its Application to Simulated and Natural Earthquakes | Yaolin Shi |
16:25 | Development of Physics-Based Predictive Simulation Models for Earthquake Generation | Mitsuhiro Matsu'ura |
16:45 | Discussion | Yehuda Ben-Zion |
Wednesday, May 8th 2002 | ||
Session V: Working Group 1 | Terry Tullis | |
08:30 | Introduction Mini-session on Comparison Between Experimental and Simulation Results on Shearing of Granular Materials in Fault Zones |
Terry Tullis |
08:40 | The Effect of Particle Characteristics on the Frictional Properties of Sheared Granular Layers: Comparison of Laboratory Data and Numerical Models | Chris Marone |
09:00 | Mechanical Behavior and the Degree of Localization in Large Displacement Faulting Experiments | Nick Beeler |
09:20 | Capturing Physical Phenomena in Numerical Simulations of Granular Gouge: Effects of Contact Laws, Particle Size Distribution, and the 3rd Dimension | Julia Morgan |
09:40 | Role of Grain Shape and Inter-Particle Friction on the Strength of Simulated Fault Gouge - Results, Questions, Directions | David Place |
10:00 | Break | |
10:30 | Panel Discussion on Comparison Between Laboratory Experimental Results and Simulation | Terry Tullis Nick Beeler, Chris Marone, Peter Mora, Julia Morgan, David Place |
11:10 | Mini-session on Damage, Stress Distribution, and Shear Failure in Heterogeneous Media Long-Range Stress Re-distribution Resulting from Damage in Heterogeneous Media |
Yilong Bai |
11:30 | Effect of Heterogeneity on Catastrophic Rupture | Fujiu Ke |
11:50 | Effects of Temperature, Pore Water Pressure and Slip Velocity on the Shear Failure Process in Granite in Seismogenic Environments | Aitaro Kato |
12:10 | Wrap-Up Discussion | |
Thursday, May 9th 2002 | ||
Session VI: Working group 4 | Kim Olson | |
08:30 | Introduction | Kim Olsen |
08:35 | Earthquakes on Heterogeneous Faults | Ruth Harris |
08:50 | On the Estimation of Dynamic Rupture Parameters | Kim Olsen |
09:10 | Seismic Energy Computed from Dynamic Models | Ralph Archuleta |
09:30 | Finite-Element Simulation of Seismic Wave Propagation With a Voxel Grid | Kazuki Koketsu |
09:45 | The Deformation and Fractures Feature for Granite Block of Y-Mode With En Echelon Fault During Biaxial Compression | Zhaoyong Xu |
10:00 | Break | |
10:20 | Guided Waves from Sources Outside Faults: An Indication for Shallow Fault Zone Structure? | Heiner Igel |
10:40 | Update on Spectral Element Code Development and Applications: Spectral-Element Simulations of Earthquakes at Global and Regional Scales | Dimitri Komatitsch |
11:00 | Parallel 3D Simulation of Seismic Wave Propagation: Observations and Simulations | Takashi Furumura |
11:20 | The PEER/SCEC Wave Propagation Code Validation Exercise | Steve Day |
11:40 | Panel Discussion | Kim Olsen |
12:00 | Lunch | |
Session VII: Working Group 2 | Bill Klein | |
13:30 | Introduction | Bill Klein |
13:35 | Accelerating Moment Release Before Large Earthquakes | Charles Sammis |
14:05 | The Spinodal Picture for Scaling in Earthquake Fault Systems | Bill Klein |
14:30 | Critical Sensitivity in Driven Nonlinear Threshold Systems | Mengfen Xia |
15:00 | Break | |
15:30 | A Constitutive Scaling Law for the Shear Rupture that is Inherently Scale-Dependent, and Physical Scaling of Nucleation Time to Dynamic Instability | Mitiyasu Ohnaka |
15:45 | Universal Moment Rate Shape and Statistics of Earthquakes in Simple Models of Heterogeneous Faults and Observations | Karin Dahmen |
16:15 | The Evolution of Regional Seismicity Between Large Earthquakes | David Bowman |
16:30 | Ergodicity in Natural Fault Systems | Kristy Tiampo |
16:45 | Accelerating Precursory Activity in Statistical Fractal Automata | Dion Weatherly |
17:00 | Does the Scaling of Strain Energy Release with Event Size Control the Temporal Evolution of Seismicity? | Steve Juame |
17:15 | Discussion | |
18:45 | Closing Banquet | |
Friday, May 10th 2002 | ||
Session VIII: Working Group 7 | Dave Jackson | |
08:30 | Earthquakes, Faults, and Simulations | Dave Jackson |
08:50 | Load-Unload Response Ration (LURR) and Accelerating Moment/Energy Release (AM/ER) and State Vector | Xiangchu Yin |
09:10 | Study on Spatial and Temporal Variation in LURR in California Regions and Its Implication to Earthquake Tendency in this Region | Yongxian Zhang |
09:30 | Emergent Anisotropy and Flow Alignment in Viscous Rock | Hans Muhlhaus |
09:45 | Aftershocks and Damage Mechanics | Don Turcotte |
10:00 | Break | |
10:30 | GeoFEM Kinematic Earthquake Cycle Modeling in the Japan Islands | Kazuro Hirahara |
10:45 | The General Earthquake Model Computational System and Recent Scientific Results | Andrea Donnellan |
11:15 | Panel Discussion | David Jackson |
11:45 | Final Comments | Peter Mora |
Attendees
Abe, Steffen
Ailleres, Laurent
Anghel, Marian
Appelbe, Bill
Archuleta, Ralph
Bai, Yilong
Beeler, Nick
Ben-Zion, Yehuda
Bosl, William
Bowman, David
Burbidge, David
Cai, Jin-an
Chen, Li
Cohen, Steven
Dahmen, Karin
Day, Steve
Donnellan, Andrea
Dyskin, Arcady
Erlebacher, Gordon
Ezure, Shin'ichi
Furumura, Takashi
Glasscoe, Maggi
Gould, Harvey
Gould, Miryha
Granat, Robert
Grant, Lisa
Hager, Brad
Harris, Ruth
Hashimoto, Chihiro
Hirahara, Kazuro
Hirose, Hitoshi
Holschneider, Matthias
Hore, Muneo
Hurst, Ken
Hyodo, Mamoru
Ichimura, Tsuyoshi
Igel, Heiner
Iizuka, Mikio
Ionescu, Dorin
Jackson, Dave
Jaume, Steve
Jordan, Tom
Kase, Yuko
Kato, Aitaro
Kato, Naoyuki
Kawasaki, Kyoji
Ke, Fujiu
Kellogg, Louise
Klein, Bill
Koketsu, Kazuki
Komatitsch, Dimitri
LaBrecque, John
Ma, Li
Marone, Chris
Matsu'ura, Mitsuhiro
Matsui, Hiroaki
McGuire, Jeff
McRaney, John
Mikumo, Takeshi
Minster, Bernard
Mitsui, Noa
Mora, Peter
Morgan, Julia
Muhlhaus, Hans
Nakajima, Kengo
Nakamura, Hiasashi
Neuhauser, Doug
Ohnaka, Mitiyasu
Okuda, Hiroshi
Olsen, Kim
Parker, Jay
Pasternak, Elena
Pitarka, Arben
Place, David
Prabhakar, Giri
Qi, Li
Raymond, Carol
Robinson, Russell
Rockwell, Tom
Rundle, John
Sagiya, Takeshi
Sammis, Charlie
Shcherbakov, Robert
Shi, Yaolin
Shibazaki Bunichiro
Smith, Stewart
Suito, Hisashi
Tiampo, Kristy
Todling, Ricardo
Tullis, Terry
Turcotte, Don
Wang, Yucang
Weatherley, Dion
Wu, Zhongliang
Xia, Meng-fen
Xing, Hui Lin
Xu, Zhaoyong
Yin, Can
Yin, Xiang-chu
Yuen, Dave
Zhang, Yongxian