Project Abstract
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We have validated the SDSU BBP module in terms of ground motion duration, intra-event variability, and PSA against NGA-West2 GMPEs. We obtained significantly improved 50-realization PSA GOF to NGA-West2 (Part A+B), by adjusting the shape and amplitude of the source-time function convolved with the high-frequency scattering functions in the SDSU BBP module. We find that the SDSU module produces median intra-event standard deviations in very good agreement with GMPEs, primarily due to the inherent variability built into the HF scattering functions. We validated the (HF) durations associated with the SDSU module synthetics, after refining the scattering parameters in the code. The current technique of estimating the goodness-of-fit (GOF) for durations (Anderson set of GOF metrics recently implemented on the BBP) aligns synthetic and recorded time series to the time of the 5% energy and cuts the synthetic time series when the data record ends. This technique can provide a biased GOF value when the data is truncated (i.e., due to too short of a recording window). We find that the synthetics should not be truncated to provide a fair comparison. We have eliminated data records that appear to be truncated and several bugs in the BBP GOF procedure associated with time interpolation and alignment fixed. 50-realization significant duration estimates from the updated SDSU module were generally improved of the WUS and Japanese events. We implemented multi-segment rupture and demonstrated for a 3-segment Landers approximation, with improved durations and little change in the PSA GOF compared to the 1-segment approximation. |