APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation (ACES) Workshop on Advances in Simulation of Multihazards
Conveners: John Rundle, John McRaney and the ACES International Science Board
Dates: May 1-5, 2011
Location: Makena Resort, Kihei, Maui, Hawaii
SCEC Award and Report: 11029
SUMMARY: The APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulations organization announces a workshop to discuss simulation of earthquake and other natural hazards around the Pacific Rim.
To be held in Maui, Hawaii, at the Makena Resort in Kihei, Hawaii, during May 1-5, 2011, the workshop will bring together scientists from the Australia, Canada, China, Chinese Taipei, Japan, the United States, and other APEC economies that have been devastated in recent years by earthquakes and other disasters.
Local Organizing Committee (LOC) will include John Rundle (Chair), John McRaney (Secretary), and the ACES International Science Board.
SESSIONS:
- Advances in complex fault-based system-level simulations of plate boundaries and the science that underlies them
- Simulation of multihazards, including tsunamis, storm surges, flooding, landslides, wildfires, and climate change
- Enabling technologies including cloud computing, radar interferometry, and geographic information systems
- Applications of simulation technology to seismic early warning, forecasting, and urban hazard mitigation
PARTICIPANTS: Michael Barall (Invisible Software, Inc.), Sylvain Barbot (Caltech), Andrea Donnellan (Jet Propulsion Lab), Ned Field (USGS), Yaron Finzi (U of Queensland), Geoffrey C. Fox (Indiana University), Eiichi Fukuyama (NIED), Maggi Glasscoe (NASA JPL), Joseph Gran (UC Davis), Robert Granat (Jet Propulsion Lab), Lisa Grant Ludwig (UC Irvine), James R. Holliday (UC Davis), Takane Hori (JAMSTEC), Junle Jiang (Caltech), Louise Kellogg (UC Davis), William Klein (Boston University), Rod Linn (Los Almos National Lab), John McRaney (SCEC), Jim Mori (DPRI, Kyoto University), Kazuyoshi Nanjo (U. of Tokyo), Jay Parker (Jet Propulsion Lab), Fred Pollitz (USGS), Keith Richards-Dinger (UC Riverside), John B. Rundle (UC Davis), Michael Sachs (UC Davis), Y. Tony Song (NASA JPL), Terry Tullis (Brown University), Don Turcotte (UC Davis), Steven Ward (UC Santa Cruz), Charles Williams (GNS Science), Xiang-chu Yin (CSB), Mark Yoder (UC Davis), David Yuen (U. Minnesota), Yongxian Zhang (China), Olaf Zielke (GFZ Potsdam)
AGENDA
SUNDAY May 1, 2011
| 18:30 | Registration and Reception | Tsunami Wall in back of the hotel |
MONDAY May 2, 2011
| 08:30 | Welcome | John Rundle |
| Tohoku Earthquake | ||
| 08:45 | Summary of Data and Models for the Great Tohoku Earthquake | Jim Mori |
| 09:45 | Predictive Dynamic Rupture Simulation of the 2011 Tohoku Megathrust Earthquake | Eiichi Fukuyama |
| 10:30 | Break | |
| Forecasting & Early Warning | ||
| 11:00 | Collaboratory for the predictability study of the aftershock sequence following the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake: A preliminary result | Kazuyoshi Nanjo |
| 11:45 | Results of the RELM/CSEP Validation Experiment | Donald Turcotte |
| 12:15 | Lunch | |
| Forecasting & Early Warning | ||
| 13:30 | Computational Issues in Forecasting Earthquakes | John Rundle |
| 13:50 | Record-breaking Earthquake Forecasts | Mark Yoder |
| 14:10 | 3D Simulation of Dynamic Response of a Heterogeneous Earth for Earthquake Forecasting | Huilin Xing |
| 14:30 | QuakeSim Fault Interaction Simulations | Jay Parker |
| 14:50 | Break | |
| Multihazards & Tsunamis | ||
| 15:30 | Numerical Simulation of Wildfires | Rodman Linn |
| 15:50 | Multi-Hazard Simulation | Steven Ward |
| 16:20 | What Mechanisms are Responsible for the Tsunami of The Great Tohoku Earthquake of 2011: Elastic Deformation or Landslides? | David Yuan |
| 16:40 | GPS Detection of Tsunami Scales for Early Warnings | Tony Song |
| 17:00 | Adjourn |
TUESDAY May 3, 2011
| Multihazards & Tsunamis | ||
| 08:30 | The Spatio-Temporal Scan of LURR in the Western United States and Its Application to Predict its Seismic Tendency | Xiang-chu Yin |
| 09:00 | Ensemble Earthquake Forecast Test in North-East Tibet Plateau with Multiple Models | Yongxian Zhan |
| 09:20 | Seismic Streaks and Holes: Geometric Control of the Parkfield Mw6.0 Earthquake Sequence | Sylvian Barbot |
| 09:40 | Fault Step-over Rheology and its Effect on Earthquake Rupture Propagation | Yaron Finzi |
| 10:00 | Nucleation and Growth Modes in a Monte Carlo model of Cohesive Tensile Cracks | Joseph Gran |
| 10:15 | Break | |
| Simulation Methods | ||
| 10:40 | Numerical experiment of sequential data assimilation for crustal deformation between Tonankai and Nankai Earthquakes | Takane Hori |
| 11:00 | New Approach to Gutenberg-Richter Scaling | William Klein |
| 11:30 | Dynamic Rupture on Faults with Heterogeneous Strength Due to Non-uniform Normal Stress: The Effect of stress redistribution by Prior Events | Junle Jiang |
| 11:50 | Finite Element Modeling of the 2011 Christchurch, New Zealand, Mw6.3 Earthquake | Charles Williams |
| 12:20 | Lunch and Adjourn |
WEDNESDAY May 4, 2011
| Computational Technology & Quake Simulations | ||
| 08:30 | Complex Faulting Across the Los Angeles Portion of the Pacific-North American Plate Boundary | Andrea Donnellan |
| 08:50 | The OpenQuake InfoMall | Geooffrey Fox |
| 09:10 | E-DECIDER: Experiences Developing Earthquake Disaster Decision Support and Response Tools | Marlon Pierce |
| 09:30 | Analysis of 30 Minute Resolution GPS Time Series from the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake via Statistical Modeling | Robert Granat |
| 09:50 | Web-Based Approach to Multihazard Analysis | James Holliday |
| 10:10 | Virtual California: Inner Workings, Recent Results and Future Development | Michael Sachs |
| 10:30 | Break | |
| 11:00 | Scientific Visualization for Earthquake Science and Simulation | Louise Kellogg |
| 11:15 | Simple Slip Models from Differential InSAR Images | Jay Parker |
| 11:30 | Reconciling Precariously Balanced Rocks with Large Earthquakes on the San Andreas Fault System in S. California | Lisa Ludwig Grant |
| 11:50 | E-DECIDER: Experiences Developing Earthquake Disaster Decision Support and Response Tools | Maggie Glasscoe |
| 12:10 | Lunch | |
| Simulators & UCERF | ||
| 13:30 | Use of Earthquake Simulators by WGCEP | Ned Field |
| 14:30 | RSQSim - A Regional Scale Earthquake Simulator | Keith Richards-Dinger |
| 14:50 | Virtual California: A Guided Tour | John Rundle and Michael Sachs |
| 15:10 | Break | |
| 15:20 | Summary of the SCEC Simulators Project | Terry Tullis |
| 16:00 | ALLCAL: An Earthquake Simulator for All of California | Steven Ward |
| 16:20 | Structural Maturity of Faults, Magnitude-Frequency Distribution and the Predictability of Earthquakes | Olaf Zielke |
| 16:40 | Discussion | Ned Field and Terry Tullis |
THURSDAY May 5, 2011
| SCEC Simulators Workshop and Discussions | ||
| 08:30 | Discussion | All |
| 13:30 | Lunch | |
| Discussion | All | |
| 17:00 | Adjourn |
ABSTRACTS
| 7252 | John Rundle | 7378 | Tony Song | 7439 | Keith Richards-Dinger |
| 7291 | James Holliday | 7386 | Kazuyoshi Nanjo | 7441 | Robert Granat |
| 7317 | Mark Yoder | 7399 | Joseph Gran | 7442 | Lisa Ludwig Grant |
| 7324 | Dave Yuen | 7400 | Michael Sachs | 7448 | Louise Kellogg |
| 7331 | Andrea Donnellan | 7401 | Don Turcotte | 7462 | Terry Tullis |
| 7338 | Maggi Glasscoe | 7409 | Edward Field | 7464 | Jim Mori |
| 7351 | Yaron Finzi | 7418 | Steven Ward | 7479 | Eiichi Fukuyama |
| 7352 | Olaf Zielke | 7426 | Junle Jiang | 7485 | Geoffrey Fox |
| 7357 | Jay Parker | 7429 | William Klein | 7490 | Xiang-Chu Yin |
| 7367 | How-Wei Chen | 7430 | Jay Parker | 7495 | Rodman Linn |
| 7372 | Sylvain Barbot | 7432 | Huilin Xing | 7513 | Takane Hori |
| 7377 | Charles Williams | 7435 | Yongxian Zhang |
