SoSAFE Workshop Draft Agenda (Jan 8-9, 2007)

You can now download the draft agenda for the Southern San Andreas Fault Evaluation (SoSAFE) Workshop at http://www.scec.org/SoSAFE. (A text version is at the end of this announcement for your convenience.)

In addition to presentations and discussions of SoSAFE Project initiatives and strategies, workshop participants may also take part in commemorating the 1857 Fort Tejon earthquake on January 9th.

For those who have not yet registered, online REGISTRATION CLOSES DEC. 11th! You may opt to attend one or both workshop days. Register now since meeting space is limited.

REGISTER ONLINE: http://www.scec.org/SoSAFE

If you have further questions regarding the SoSAFE Project, please contact Ken Hudnut (hudnut@usgs.gov). Technical issues pertaining to registration should be forward to John Marquis (marquis@usc.edu). If you have questions regarding meeting logistics (travel, parking, hotel, etc.), please contact Tran Huynh (huynht@usc.edu).

We hope to see you in January!

----------SoSAFE Workshop DRAFT AGENDA----------

Southern San Andreas Fault Evaluation (SoSAFE) Project
Convenor: Ken Hudnut
First Workshop ­ SCEC, Los Angeles
Monday, 8 January 2007 10:00-18:00
Tuesday, 9 January 2007 7:00-17:00

SCEC3 Science Priority Objective A1:
"Define slip rate and earthquake history of southern San Andreas fault system for last 2000 years"

Goal: The newly formed SCEC Southern San Andreas Fault Evaluation (SoSAFE) Project will increase our knowledge of slip rates and paleo-event chronology for the past two thousand years on the southern San Andreas fault system. From Parkfield to Bombay Beach, and including the San Jacinto fault, the objective is to obtain new data to clarify and refine relative hazard assessments for each potential source of a future 'Big One.' This initial workshop is an opportunity for participants to coordinate and prioritize work proposed in response to the SCEC RFP, and to facilitate future collaborations in the broader context of a decade-long series of interdisciplinary, integrated and complementary studies on the southern San Andreas fault system. We will also commemorate the 1857 Fort Tejon earthquake, a reminder that our collaboration in SCEC and in the SoSAFE Project does matter to our society that has "put down roots" during the past 150 years.

-------------------DAY 1---------------------

Introduction to the SoSAFE Project Workshop:
10:00 SoSAFE Workshop Objectives, Format and Agenda (Ken Hudnut)
10:30 Carrizo Group Presentation (Lisa Grant)
11:00 Mojave Group Presentation (Kate Scharer)
11:30 San Bernardino Group Presentation (Sally McGill)
12:00 Lunch Break

Group Presentations (continued):
13:00 Coachella Valley Group Presentation
13:30 San Jacinto Fault Group Presentation
14:00 Radiocarbon and Other Dating Presentation
14:30 U-Series Dating Presentation
15:00 Coffee & Tea Break

15:30 Concurrent Breakout Sessions:
Carrizo Group
Mojave Group
San Bernardino Group
Coachella Group
San Jacinto Group
Dating Group

17:00 Discussion
Breakout Reports (5 minutes each)
NSF Collaborative Proposal Development
17:45 Set dates for meetings & next SoSAFE Workshop
18:00 Go around the room & adjourn

-------------------DAY 2---------------------

07:00 "Shift Happens - Dare to Prepare" Breakfast

08:00 Press Briefing (planned by Lucy Jones & Mark Benthien)

08:20 Commemoration of the 1857 Fort Tejon Earthquake
"Secure Your Space" Eq. Demonstration (outside)
Discussion time for interaction between policy-makers, emergency
responders, and scientists

The SoSAFE Project Workshop:
10:00 The USGS Multi-Hazards Initiative (Lucy Jones)
10:20 SoSAFE and the Mw7.8 "ShakeOut" Scenario (Ken Hudnut)
10:40 Scenario Modeling Lessons from "1906" Experience (Brad Aagaard)
11:00 Modeling Great San Andreas Event Ground Motions (Tom Jordan)
11:20 Will Buildings Collapse? (Swami Krishnan)
11:40 Development Along the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults: the
Alquist-Priolo Act (Jerry Treiman)
12:00 Lunch Break

13:00 The 1857 Fort Tejon Earthquake (Kerry Sieh)
13:20 Historical Accounts of the 1857 Earthquake
13:40 1857 and Earlier Slip Events in the Carrizo Plain (Lisa Grant)
14:00 The Geochronology of Paleo-earthquakes (Tom Fumal)
14:20 Statistical Analysis of Paleo-earthquakes (Glenn Biasi)
14:40 The San Bernardino Section ­ Complexities (Sally McGill)

15:00 Discussion Topics:
- What to do in case of no SoSAFE funds (or various levels of
cuts) in FY07? (definitely will need to recommend priority of work
and funding levels to the SCEC Planning Committee for Jan. 15
mtg.)
- How broad can SoSAFE afford to be? Stay with "A1" SCEC Science
Priority Objective or expand?
- Should specific proposals be moved out of SoSAFE?
- What are scientific priorities of this community?
- What group resources are needed? (e.g., travel support for field
coordination, computers to make use of B4 Project LIDAR data,
shoring)
- Fine-tuning the Mw7.8 scenario event slip distribution, fault
geometry, etc.

16:45 Confirm future meeting dates, and go around the room to
17:00 Adjourn